First and foremost, I do not believe Jonathan should run. He should not run, whether he is under pressure or not.
He is his own man, therefore, he should be responsible enough to take that decision, and not to bore us with the irresponsible statement of saying he is under pressure.
He should stop playing with the destiny of this country. He is humble enough to know the consequences of his action, should he insist on running.
But let me warn that he should not do anything that would plunge the country into avoidable anarchy.
Quote me, if Jonathan insists on running, there will be bloodshed and those who feel short-changed may take the warpath and the country may not be the same again.
His running will amount to taking about 85 million northerners for a ride and that is half of the country’s total population.
So, there will be bloodshed. But we don’t pray to get to that level, before his ethnic and tribal advisers pull him back.
The option is to pile up pressure, to ensure that he does not take the country for a ride. Nigerians must be prepared not to allow him force any political upheavals or violence on us, because that will be the consequence, if he fails to listen to the voice of reason.
In order to avoid political upheavals and violence that his action would cause this country, it will be in the best interest of Nigeria for him not to run. And history will surely be kind on him, should he decide to take that path of honour.
Having said that, if there is going to be a free and credible election, I don’t mind if Jonathan runs, because I know he would be roundly rejected by Nigerians.
But the last thing you want to guarantee in a country where the police have suddenly become an arm of PDP’s militia is a free and credible election. You don’t win election by using the bullets. So we are in a Catch 22 situation.
With what we have seen so far under Jega, INEC cannot guarantee a free and credible election. INEC is very corrupt.
If Jonathan insists on running, there will be violence in Nigeria if he wins, because he can’t win a free, fair and credible election.
I don’t speak for the North, but I believe what the north wants is a competitive process, where the game of number comes to play and the North has the numbers.
If there is going to be a credible election, Nigerians will not bother, because for me and for most Nigerians, the process is more important than the result. But these present people cannot guarantee that.
Look at Anambra. Is that the kind of a thing we want to see in 2015? A situation where PDP which is the party at the centre, is giving thumbs up to a process that not only disenfranchised more than half of the registered voters, but also disenfranchised its own candidate and his entire family. Is that fair?
This is why I said from the beginning that Jega’s lousy INEC, with highly partisan people in the country, with the police, as PDP militia cannot give us a free, fair and credible election where Jonathan is a candidate.
So, to avoid chaos, Jonathan should just take a bow and leave in the interest of the country.
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